A challenging mid-week meeting at Doomben with three maiden races and five other contests with plenty of depth.
A heavy track and the rail out 10 metres will favour on-pacers that can sit off the fence and finish off.
I will be playing with caution but watching several horses with an eye to the future.
Race 1 – Maiden Plate (1200m)
All three of BI TURBO’s outings have been in open three-year-old company and close-up placings against the likes Boom Spender and Bundyandcoke augur well for this pedestrian maiden. BI TURBO (3) has hit the line at all three starts and whilst he doesn’t have a blistering turn of foot, he has enough cruising speed to take a position and finish off over 1200m. Desleigh Forster has a 21 percent strike rate with Jim Byrne, BI TURBO will have no issues with heavy ground and from gate five will be hard to beat.
MASTER TYLER (7) had support and ran on well at the Sunshine Coast on debut behind the smart Karaka Lad. The trainer’s strike rate is much better on his home track but MASTER TYLER (7) should be improved and Sean Cormack stays on.
WITH EDGE (2) has plenty of convictions but placed at Kyneton and Stony Creek at his past two starts. He has speed and having his first start for Gary Doughty can go forward from the wide gate for Michael Hellyer and give a sight at odds.
POETRY IN MOTION (10) is another ex-Victorian with three placings in nine starts but has won both trials for Helen Page and is the likely leader.
Watch the market on the Tony Gollan debutants, particularly BRANDWOOD (3) which is well-drawn and has Ryan Maloney.
BETTING STRATEGY: BI TURBO (3) the one to beat but the short odds don’t excite
Race 2- 3YO Fillies Maiden Handicap (1200m)
Little revealed form here and whilst several have shown promise, none are superstars.
I always respect Steve Tregea runners and ELOQUENTLY (10) can improve on her debut effort when she did everything wrong at the Sunshine Coast over 1000m and still ran fifth, beaten less than three lengths. Poet’s Voice horses love wet tracks, Anthony Allen replaces the 3kg claimer and from gate two ELOQUENTLY gets every chance.
CURVETTA (9) did everything but win at Sunshine Coast over 1000m but 1200m at Doomben is harder and gate 13 is no help. Tiff Brooker and Natalie Mccall enjoy a good association, the stable is in form and CURVETTA has the speed to take luck out of the equation.
CHERRY SODA (1) ran a good second on debut at long odds for Barry Baldwin in a hot Maiden at the Gold Coast over this trip. The filly will have improvement and Matt McGillivray takes the mount.
Of the unraced, Tony Gollan sends out the well-bred RUBIN (6) for prolific owners Black Soil Bloodstock with Michael Rodd in the saddle as well as LOVEISABATTLEFIELD (14) with Ryan Maloney. Watch the market though as both need to overcome tough gates.
Others to watch include the Chris Meagher-trained MORE THAN VENICE (5) and DRIZZLE (14) having its first start for Barry Lockwood.
BETTING STRATEGY: Plenty of unknowns but if the going is a soft (7) or worse, I am on ELOQUENTLY (10) for 1 unit win and 2 units place
Race 3 – 3YO Colts and Geldings Maiden (1200m)
Another race where revealed form is moderate at best and trial form hard to assess.
KIPCHOGE (2) is speedy and yet to finish worse than fourth in four outings. Bobby El-Issa is working hard to make an impression in Queensland and riding a winner for the leading trainer won’t hurt. With gate one and a solid trial behind him, KIPCHOGE is well placed to deliver.
READY TO CHASE (9) has had two runs this time in and if Jim Byrne can stop him over-racing he will be hard to pass.
Tony Gollan’s other runner SHAMATON (10) was far from disgraced when resuming finishing third behind Orbisyn and Head Legislator over 1110m. Michael Rodd stays on, heavy ground suits and if the leaders go too hard he could finish over the top.
Once again there are several first-starters from good stables in SYTHAERO (11), VOLUNTEER (12) and GROOMED (13) but none have shown brilliant speed at the trials and outside gates won’t help.
BETTING STRATEGY: another race full of unknowns but KIPCHOGE (2) will be hard to beat.
Race 4 – Benchmark 85 Handicap (1660m)
A small field and slow tempo make this a tactical affair but the Lindsay Hatch-trained GUNNOBE (4) has won three of her five starts this preparation with her only defeats coming at Eagle Farm. She is up in grade but drops 2kg, Andrew Mallyon stays on and will stalk the leaders before shifting out on the home turn. GUNNOBE (4) is a mare in form that loves a heavy track and she can win again.
BERING SEA (2) won first-up for David Vandyke and Ryan Maloney but found Saturday class too hard last start and Jim Byrne gets the ride. A return to midweek company and a rise in trip suit. The trainer has a better than 30 percent strike rate at midweeks and whilst BERING SEA’s record is more that of a professional placegetter he can’t be ignored.
The Edmonds have a great record of improving mares when they come from Southern states. WALKING FLYING (3) has trialled following a freshen-up and is well placed in this class. Her recent form is moderate but at her previous preparation, she won three on end with placings at Group 3 and Listed level as well as a solid fifth behind Toffee Tongue in the Australasian Oaks. If WALKING FLYING can recapture that form in Queensland she will be a force.
BETTING STRATEGY: Staying with GUNNOBE (4) with 2 units to win
Race 5 – Class 1 Plate (1660m)
A Class 1 Plate with depth and KASEAR (9) and DEEP SCIEVA (8) should assure an even tempo.
RELOADED’s only win was on debut but in his thirteen starts since he has placed in multiple group races up to 2000m and proven himself a punter’s nightmare. RELOADED (3) was spelled following a good sixth in the Villiers Stakes but resumed with a poor effort in the Liverpool City Cup and Chris Waller has sent him North to try and win a race. RELOADED is perfectly placed in a Class 1 under Plate conditions, a heavy track won’t worry a son of Snitzel and with Luke Dittman steering from gate four the only question is whether the horse knows how to win.
Reloaded (left) having an exhibition trial with Hungry Heart last year. Picture: Getty ImagesSource:Getty Images
Since coming from Victoria the lightly-raced CHEVYCHASER (1) has had two starts for Brian Smith in higher class and both times has run on well over 1350m. CHEVYCHASER (1) can be slowly away but Jake Bayliss stays on and being by Adelaide the step up to 1660m will suit as will Class 1. There are few more astute trainers of middle-distance horses than Brian Smith and this is CHEVYCHASER’s chance to show what he’s got at big odds.
WITHOUT THINKING (5) didn’t beat much at the Sunshine Coast over 1400m but John Symons and Sheila Laxon are another training combination skilled with middle distance horses. The So You Think three-year-old has shown promise at all three starts and the extra distance will suit.
HEAVEN AMORE (6) has had two starts since coming from New Zealand winning first-up for Kelly Schweida before just missing at Ipswich. A four-year-old mare by Savabeel, she too will love the 1660m and adds to the depth of the race.
BETTING STRATEGY: Hard to go against RELOADED (3) but won’t be taking short odds.
Race 6 – Benchmark 75 Handicap (1050m)
They will go fast and THE FIRST OF MAY (5) is another mare that has recently landed with Toby and Trent Edmonds. At her most recent start she convincingly won a Class 2 Highway at Randwick over 1100m and has followed up with a strong trial. This is her first Queensland start but with Robbie Fradd she is well treated with 54.5kg. With a fast speed likely FIRST OF MAY (5) can sit off them as she did at Armidale two starts back and finish off.
LE PALMIER (6) was scratched on Saturday due to a heavy track. He is well placed here but 60kg may test. He has a good first-up record and is the best horse in the race but will need conditions to suit.
BLUE ODYSSEY (3) is drawn out but that may not be a hindrance on a wet track. Natalie Mccall and Tiff Brooker are in good form of late and whilst the Sunshine Coast is their normal happy hunting ground BLUE ODYSSEY (3) has the speed to bring up a hat-trick.
BETTING STRATEGY: Not keen on the race
Race 7- Class 3 Plate (1350m)
CHAMPAGNE TOOTS (7) was dominant first-up at Sunshine Coast in this grade over 1200m and will enjoy stepping up to 1350m. She carries the same weight under Plate conditions, a heavy track won’t hurt and she is a mare with upside that has improved at each preparation. With Robbie Fradd to ride, CHAMPAGNE TOOTS (7) will get a good run off the speed and can overwhelm them in the run home.
LOVE YERS ALL (8) has only won three of 21 starts but rarely misses a place. Lindsay Hatch is enjoying a good run with Andrew Mallyon and they can get in the money again here.
Ryan Maloney doesn’t often ride for Chris Waller but does have a good strike. He takes the mount on SACRED SUITE (5) which was consistent last preparation, has had a trial and is capable first-up.
ENDLESS RIVER (3) is another Waller runner which has benefited from two outings in Class 4. The drop in grade suits and if he can handle the wet ground for Michael Cahill will get a good run throughout.
BETTING STRATEGY: Having 3 units on CHAMPAGNE TOOTS to win
Race 8 – Class 2 Handicap (1110m)
Plenty of chances but CLAIRVUE STAR (4) chased home a good one in Amiche last start over 1050m in a Class 3 which followed a good win when resuming over this trip at the Gold Coast. Brad Pengelly rides CLAIRVUE STAR (4) well and being by Sebring he loves the sting out of the ground. Last preparation CLAIRVUE STAR (4) found Saturday class too hard and this time in Chris Waller is letting him work through the grades in midweek company.
SNITZARI (11) has been racing in strong Saturday races at Eagle Farm. She will find this much easier and won at her only start on a heavy track. Andrew Mallyon is in top form and she should get every chance from gate five.
IOLITE (9) was close up in the Jewel Prelude last start and that form was franked last Saturday. His best form has been at Sunshine Coast but he has speed and should be prominent.
EXPLOSIVE QUALITY is awkwardly drawn but that mightn’t be a disadvantage late in the day. He goes well fresh, his trials have been good for Michael Cahill and he will be strong late.
CONTEMPTUOUS (5) resumed well in the same Class 3 as CLAIRVUE STAR (4) and showed speed before being found out late. He will strip fitter, Ben Thompson stays on and can give a sight.
BETTING STRATEGY: Having 1 unit win 2 units place on CLAIRVUE STAR (4) but wouldn’t talk anyone out of SNITZARI (11) on a heavy track
BEST BET: CHAMPAGNE TOOTS (Race 7 No 7)
NEXT BEST: GUNNOBE (Race 4 No 4)
VALUE BET: CLAIRVUE STAR (Race 8 No 4)
Quaddie numbers are:
Race 5: 1,3,5,6
Race 6: 2,3,9
Race 7: 5,7
Race 8: 4,11
Originally published asDoomben tips: Top class galloper to find winning form
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