It’s your last chance to climb the SuperCoach Racing ladder this Saturday and because we’re here to help we have applied the tried and trusty metric to each race on Stakes Day in an attempt to identify those horses that hit the sweet spot of being well liked by the market and good value in the game.
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DARLEY SPRINT (Group 1)
Santa Ana Lane ran the fastest last 200m of The Everest but was pipped by Yes Yes Yes on the day, I’m tipping him to finish first on Saturday and with a sensational metric score he will be my captain. Nature Strip has one run for a win at the course and distance but I might risk him and take the filly Loving Gaby as my second horse in this race and just hope she navigates the straight 1200m successfully.
MACKINNON STAKES (Group 1)
Melody Belle charged home over the final furlong to win the G1 Empire Rose Stakes last start and is two from two over the distance. A little further down the list is Kings Will Dream who won over the course and distance two starts back when he won the Turnbull but that was under handicap conditions not WFA – still I rate him a good place chance.
MATRIARCH STAKES (Group 2)
Girl Tuesday has the 12th best metric of any horse and looks the best way into the G2 points on offer here. If you want a second bite of the G2 cherry there is nothing splitting Rondinella and Amangiri by metric – if you have the salary cap to spare then take Rondinella who is more favoured in the market, if not go Amangiri.
QUEEN ELIZABETH STAKES (Group 3)
UK horse True Self is being kept very safe in the betting and fair enough too as he looked really good when second to Melbourne Cup runner-up Prince Of Arran in the G3 Geelong Cup at last start. Carif does not win often, and I don’t think he’ll win here but he’s very appealing as a second-stringer here at his price.
CHATHAM STAKES (Group 3)
With four horses under $5.50 your move here will be determined by salary cap space. if you have cash to splash then take whichever one of Noble Boy, Admiral’s Joker, Iconoclasm and Widgee Turf you like the most. If money is tight then Noble Boy is your guy.
RADIO TROPHY STAKES
It’s a choice in two between Mandela Effect and Ranier – and nothing between them in the metric, if you invest here you are choosing between Sydney and Melbourne form. Mandela Effect finished second in the Sale Cup at his last start and was just 1.3 lengths off the winner Rox The Castle in the Weekend Hussler Stakes the start before. Ranier was 1.1 lengths behind Cascadian when fourth in the Spring Mile at his last start. that said, there are better rated horses available on the metric and no Group points here so unless you feel strongly then move on.
VERY SPECIAL KIDS PIN & WIN PLATE
All three of Starcaster, Grinzinger Star and Wetakemanhattan fall within the top-ten of the metric but you only want one. With money not too much of a constraint this round I’d be taking one of the latter two.
This race features the top-three metric scores of the round in Knickpoint, Regimental Band and Banquo; however, there are no Group points on offer to add Knickpoint and move along.
No Group bonus points on offer and a wide open field spells SuperCoach poison – avoid.
It’s a battle in two for mine between Hugh Bowman and his consistent book of rides and Craig Williams with a larger book with a larger average value. I’m going with Hughie – our SuperCoach ambassador but reckon this is the week to just pick your favourite and ride them home with them.
Originally published asLet the market pick your Stakes Day stable
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