Race 1 – 1:00PM CATANACH'S HANDICAP (1350 METRES)
The big flag with 4. You Make Me Smile is that he started $3 favourite in a group 3 last start, and
here he is back to BM88 grade. So why isn’t he favourite? He should be. The four-year-old has never
raced better. He has finally worked out how to harness his speed. That saw him win three on the
bounce before Jason Coyle tested him in group company last start and, although he ran fourth, he
certainly wasn’t completely out of his depth. He just got a touch keen early. Convinced that was due
to him drawing one and having to be driven out to hold the fence. Dreamforce didn’t help his cause,
punching up with him. No such dramas here drawn out. He gets first crack at the track, is rock hard
fit, makes his own luck and he is a swimmer.
No joking: I Am Serious is a serious contender in the feature Coolmore Classic.Credit:AAP
Dangers: 9. Star Of The Seas looks dangerously weighted down on 52.5kg with Kerrin McEvoy riding. He zoomed to the line with 58.5kg first up over 1000m before running over 1350m second up with 57kg. He chased home talented type Archedemus in the latter. No excuses fitness-wise now third-up. 8. Safado got the job done at Hakwesbury to qualify for the Provincial Championship final.
Surprised he is so short here but is not without a hope. Don’t think 5. Paret or 1. Don’t Give A Damn are wet trackers.
How to play it: You Make Me Smile WIN
Race 2 – 1:40PM CANADIAN CLUB MAURICE MCCARTEN STAKES (1100
7. All Over Bosanova was too slippery for her rivals at Canberra back to 1000m last start. It was a
brilliant display of sustained speed. She is well into her campaign so that’ll be her best asset against
this field, and her proven ability in the wet ground. We saw her three runs back on a Soft 7 at
Rosehill where she was collared late by All Too Royal and Maximus. That was only second up and
over 1200m. A few of these up the top of this field certainly have more class than her, as the
benchmark ratings suggest, but she catches them at the right time. She won’t get it all her own way
in front with 3. Fiery Heights shooting up her inside but so often you see the leaders over the
Rosehill 1100m just keep on running giving nothing else a chance. At the odds, happy to gamble
that’s the case here.
Dangers: One of the rare flops in the career of 4. Easy Eddie was on a heavy track. Soft is fine. The
four-year-old enjoyed a fantastic preparation last time in and looks destined for group races. It’s the
typical mould we see so often with Joe Pride sprinters. They improve every campaign and before you
know it, they are racing at the very top level. 5. Trekking’s trials have been sensational. He won three of his six starts last campaign. Again though, is the query over a heavy track. Especially first up. 3. Fiery Heights is flying. He has failed in NSW once before but wasn’t in this vein of form. 10. Junglized is holding his form well.
How to play it: All Over Bosanova EACH WAY
Race 3 – 2:15PM HARROLDS MAGIC NIGHT STAKES (1200 METRES)
4. Athiri didn’t have much luck in her two Melbourne runs. In the Blue Diamond Prelude she was
trapped wide the trip but bravely fought on to run third to Lyre before again she was beaten by Lyre
in the Blue Diamond. On that occasion she got a long way back and had the winner kick up on her
outside at the top of the straight.
She started $4.80 which is a strong push in itself. She won at Rosehill on debut easily accounting for handy colt Accession. She is yet to race on anything other
than a good track and not overly thrilled that she has drawn 1 but we’ll leave it to James McDonald
to weave some magic. There is every chance the jockeysare already looking to get off the fence
come this race. Saloon passage up the fence ala Mossfun?
Dangers: The Blue Diamond form it too hard to ignore which makes 2. Lankan Star the danger. She
has been right around the mark in the same races as Athiri. Has raced well on a soft track at
Flemington but a heavy track at Rosehill is a different kettle of fish. There was plenty of style about
10. Villami’s debut win but she is very closely priced to those coming out of the Blue Diamond. If you fancy Villami, don’t overlook 15. Crystal Falls. Against the pattern of the day she ran Villami to 1.3L and Punters Intelligence reveals her closing 600m was comfortably the quickest in the race (33.59s). She is monster odds! 1. Probabeel is the wildcard across from New Zealand. Trainer Jamie Richards suspects the Sires will be more her go.
How to play it: Athiri WIN and Lankan Star WIN
Race 4 – 2:55PM BOWERMANS OFFICE FURNITURE PAGO PAGO STAKES
Unlike the fillies in the Magic Night, there doesn’t look to be a great deal of speed engaged here. 2.
Cosmic Force should have little trouble sliding across from his wide draw to settle in the first two. Of all the exposed form here his last start second to Microphone stands head and shoulders above the rest. The Deep Field colt with Peter and Paul Snowden has improved every time he has stepped out. Back in third was Castelvecchio. So effectively he split one of the Golden Slipper favourites and the early Sires Produce favourite. Looked to get through the wet okay two back when he chased home Bivouac.
Dangers: 7. Mo’s Crown wasn’t entitled to finish where he did on debut given how hard he worked
early. The time was considerably slower than Villami on the same day but most two-year-olds would
have put the white flag at the top of the straight. Tassort gave 6. Born A Warrior windburn in the
Silver Slipper having made their runs at the same time but the colt did a lot wrong. 1. Hightail has to be respected off his powerful effort in the Magic Millions the last time we saw him.
How to play it: Cosmic Force WIN
Race 5 – 3:35PM CHANDON S PHAR LAP STAKES (1500 METRES)
11. Verry Elleegant is a top class filly. She still has the tendency to overrace, which was evident at her first start for Chris Waller but she still had the class to burst through and run Amphitrite to a length and run past Fundementalist, who we know has since run two group 1 seconds in the Surround and Randwick Guineas. She was headed for the Australian Guineas, and was hard in the market, but had to change course after suffering an elevated temp on race eve. She is a month between runs here but that’ll ensure she is fresh enough to dash home over 1500m. Hopefully not too fresh given her history! Ticks the wet track box. Will need a clever ride from James McDonald but suspect she’ll prove too classy.
Dangers: 12. Zalatte only warmed up the last 100m in the G1 Surround Stakes first up. This has been an important race for Waller in gauging the quality of his fillies having won three of the past four with Winx, Foxplay and Unforgotten. If Verry Elleegant isn’t on her best behaviour the stablemate is the one that will take advantage. Will be better again in the Vinery but has the upside to win this on the way through. 7. Seabrook could find herself right on top of the speed here after the Kembla Grange Classic scratchings come through. 6. Aristia and 9. Mizzy next best.
How to play it: Verry Elleegant WIN and SAVE Zalatte
Race 6 – 4:10PM SCHWEPPES SKY HIGH STAKES (2000 METRES)
Second up off a 74-week break over 2000m doesn’t scream tip me but that’s the task I’m backing 4.
Tavago to overcome. The ATC Derby winner has been plagued with injuries throughout his career
but when he gets conditions to suit, he is inevitably right there in the finish. The six-year-old won
this race two years ago towelling up Antonio Giuseppe with the track rated a Soft 7 that day. He was
then sent around $4.40 in The BMW but pulled up lame. Tavago has only had three runs since then,
one of them being first up this time in, but all were on Good tracks. Thought he did enough fresh in
the Blamey. You’re taking him on trust that he is fit enough but Trent Busuttin and Natalie Young
wouldn’t be travelling up to just make up the numbers.
Dangers: 1. Patrick Erin won the group 1 Metrop third-up last preparation. It’s because of that he lumps the 58kg here but he’ll start to come into his own now out to 2000m. He has run behind Winx at WFA first and second up. Loves the wet. 3. Red Cardinal was impressive at his first start for Kris Lees. Might want further than 2000m now but the wet track will make it a test. Could get the same set up too if 10. Samadoubt tries to skip away. 5. Libran ran second to 6. Auvray in this race last year but both are suspect on heavy ground. 7. Brimham Rocks hasn’t fired a shot in his two runs back but they’ve both been at WFA against Winx. Has some overseas wet form. He is too talented to
completely sack just yet.
How to play it: Tavago WIN
Race 7 – 4:50PM COOLMORE CLASSIC (1500 METRES)
Can’t remember the last time I have been this confident in a mares group1 race. 11. I Am Serious
has had the perfect lead-in. Her first up run was a beauty. She didn’t win but she always improves
lengths on what she does first up, just have a look at her second up record (4:2-1-1). Last
preparation she ran second to Flow fresh before giving Avilius a fright second up. The wet track
won’t stop her, in fact, it’ll just ensure they don’t outsprint her. Have been waiting for I Am Serious
to get to this race ever since she trialled so well back in late January and early February. Draws
perfectly to blend into the race when James McDonald wants her to. Time to cash in.
Dangers: 20. Moss Trip ran well behind I Am Serious in the Millie Fox after missing the spring. She
can only improve off that, handles the wet and sneaks into the field with 52.5kg (Tommy Berry is
riding 1kg over). 17. Jamaican Rain has been the big firmer all week on the back of the rain. The six-year-old is one of the best wet trackers around. Has no other option other than to push on from the wide draw. Want to keep 8. Noire very safe. It was too bad to be true last start – turns out she pulled up lame. She’ll scoot through the wet and looks big odds. Then there are the three-year-old fillies 15. El Dorado Dreaming and 16. Fiesta. We know it’s a deep crop this year.
How to play it: I Am Serious WIN
Race 8 – 5:30PM HYLAND RACE COLOURS AJAX STAKES (1500 METRES)
3. Fifty Stars holds the ace of being a wet tracker here. It’s his big advantage over 1. Land Of Plenty and 2. Dreamforce. Fifty Stars won the Blamey last start and although he beat So Si Bon and Cool Chap, liked the ticker he showed to stick his neck out having been left in front a long way from
home. Forget his second-up failure as mucus was detected after the CF Orr. He hasn’t beaten Land
Of Plenty in their two previous meetings but as I keep harping back to, the wet track swings things
firmly in his corner. As does the weights. He gets 2.5kg off Land Of Plenty under the race conditions.
Dangers: Land Of Plenty is the class runner here and a genuine group 1 animal but his wet track
form isn’t overly inspiring. He has had one run on a heavy track before. He ran 11 of 12 in the
Rosehill Guineas on a heavy 10. He has never been back over the trip since and it was possibly and
end of campaign run. Don’t want to completely dismiss him off that flop alone, however. 2.
Dreamforce’s last start win suggests the six-year-old has never been better. Again, the prospect of a
genuine heavy track is the query. 11. Seaway was flattered by a very slow tempo at Rosehill last start but there doesn’t look to be much speed again here, outside of Dreamforce and 10. Mask Of Time.
How to play it: Fifty Stars WIN
Race 9 – 6:10PM ANZ BLOODSTOCK NEWS HANDICAP (1900 METRES)
3. Supernova looks destined for much bigger and better things as he creeps out in trip over the
autumn. The import with Team Hawkes clocked 34s flat first up with Punters Intelligence revealing
that was four lengths quicker than anything else in the race. He has never seen a wet track in his six
career starts but the fact the stable scratched him from Melbourne to instead run here suggests
there is a degree of confidence that he’ll handle it. Doesn’t look to be a brilliant gate horse but
barrier 2 ensures he can slip into a midfield position behind what looks a good speed up front. Holds
a nomination for the Sydney Cup over The Championships. Has a long way to go to get there but
winning this would be the right first step.
Dangers: 13. Angel Of Truth is 1400m to 1900m but did tackle the mile first up prior to that so that
doesn’t worry me at all. He ran well at Hawkesbury last start behind Safado but simply wanted
further. The temptation of the Provincial Championships was there so connections had to have a
throw at the stumps. Out to this trip and on the wet ground, expect the three-year-old to run well. 2.
Desert Path jumped out of the ground second up to go down narrowly at Rosehill. He is another
unknown in the ground. Maps to give these a big start. 4. Sondelon was brilliant last start, beating
Supernova, but the testing track has me relegating him. If it was dry, he’d be on top. 5. White Boots
is so honest while 10. Bajan Gold was very heavily backed on his Australian debut for Chris Waller.
How to play it: Supernova WIN
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