New NBA predictions: How the Pels’ problems shake up the playoff race

  • Co-author, Pro Basketball Prospectus series
  • Formerly a consultant with the Indiana Pacers
  • Developed WARP rating and SCHOENE system

What have the results so far meant to the NBA playoff races? What about the play-in tournament picture?

We’re in the first weekend of the restart, and already there have been some important matchups to determine where teams will finish in the Eastern and Western Conference playoff standings.

For new predictions, I’ve run 1,000 simulations of the remaining games based on projected rotations and player ratings in the multiyear, predictive version of ESPN’s real plus-minus.

Let’s take a look at the new forecast.

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