{"id":299320,"date":"2023-12-02T10:27:50","date_gmt":"2023-12-02T10:27:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/allmysportsnews.com\/?p=299320"},"modified":"2023-12-02T10:27:50","modified_gmt":"2023-12-02T10:27:50","slug":"man-uniteds-champions-league-prospects-calculated-by-opta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/allmysportsnews.com\/soccer\/man-uniteds-champions-league-prospects-calculated-by-opta\/","title":{"rendered":"Man United's Champions League prospects calculated by Opta"},"content":{"rendered":"
Manchester United’s hopes of reaching the Champions League knockout rounds are dangling by a thread after another defensive horror show.<\/p>\n
They threw away 2-0 and 3-1 leads to draw 3-3 with Galatasaray on Wednesday night and their last-16 destiny is now out of their hands.<\/p>\n
United will need to beat Bayern Munich at Old Trafford on matchday six on December 12 and hope the other game between Copenhagen and Galatasaray ends all-square.<\/p>\n
That’s reflected in Opta’s latest calculations, which show a minuscule six per cent chance of United making it through.<\/p>\n
Even worse, Erik ten Hag’s side are given a 66.3 per cent probability of crashing out of Europe entirely by finishing bottom of the group.<\/p>\n
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Manchester United’s Champions League chances hang by a thread after their 3-3 draw with Galatasaray on Wednesday – with their fate out of their own hands ahead of matchday six<\/p>\n
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Erik ten Hag’s side are bottom of Group A and need favours from elsewhere to progress<\/p>\n
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United need to beat Bayern Munich at Old Trafford and hope that Copenhagen and Galatasaray draw to snatch second place and reach the last-16<\/p>\n
Your browser does not support iframes.<\/p>\n
Opta rate their prospects of finishing third and going into the Europa League at 27.6 per cent.<\/p>\n
Copenhagen – currently second in Group A and ahead of Galatasaray on overall goal difference – have home advantage on December 12 and are given a 55.2 per cent chance of making the last-16, compared to the Turkish club’s 38.7 per cent.<\/p>\n
Goals by Alejandro Garnacho and Bruno Fernandes put United in a commanding position in the hostile atmosphere of RAMS Park on Wednesday night.<\/p>\n
But goalkeeper Andre Onana allowed Hakim Ziyech’s free-kick to beat him to allow Galatasaray a route back into the contest.<\/p>\n
United restored their two-goal advantage with Scott McTominay’s goal early in the second-half, only for Onana to commit an even worse blunder to allow Ziyech to score again.<\/p>\n
Kerem Akturkoglu then lashed home Galatasaray’s equaliser to put a massive dent in United’s last-16 hopes.<\/p>\n
Ten Hag’s team, by contrast, are the form team of the Premier League with five wins from their last six games.<\/p>\n
They return to domestic duty with a tough trip to Newcastle United on Saturday night.\u00a0<\/p>\n
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Opta have worked out United’s chances of reaching the knockout stages at just six per cent<\/p>\n
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Goalkeeper Andre Onana was to blame for two of Galatasaray’s goals as United collapsed<\/p>\n
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They have performed poorly throughout a group stage that has seen three defeats\u00a0<\/p>\n
While Manchester City and Arsenal have booked their spots in the Champions League knockouts, Newcastle must beat AC Milan in their final group game to stand a chance of progressing.<\/p>\n
They also need Borussia Dortmund to get at least a point against Paris Saint-Germain.<\/p>\n
The Opta supercomputer rates Newcastle’s chances of making it through at 37.6 per cent.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Failing that, they are calculated to have a 38.4 per cent chance of taking the Europa League slot and 23.9 per cent of crashing out of Europe altogether.<\/p>\n
PSG can still top the group but Dortmund are regarded as the favourites on 70.3 per cent. They have home advantage for the concluding game on December 13.<\/p>\n
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Opta give Newcastle United a 37.6 per cent chance of making it through to the knockouts<\/p>\n
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Newcastle were moments away from a famous away victory over Paris Saint-Germain<\/p>\n
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Debate will rage over whether Tino Livramento should have been penalised for a handball after it ricocheted off his chest first<\/p>\n
It’s All Kicking Off is an exciting new podcast from Mail Sport that promises a different take on Premier League football.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n It is available on MailOnline, Mail+, YouTube, Apple Music and Spotify.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n Your browser does not support iframes.<\/p>\n