{"id":300233,"date":"2023-12-12T17:17:55","date_gmt":"2023-12-12T17:17:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/allmysportsnews.com\/?p=300233"},"modified":"2023-12-12T17:17:55","modified_gmt":"2023-12-12T17:17:55","slug":"opta-rates-man-uniteds-chances-of-reaching-champions-league-last-16","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/allmysportsnews.com\/soccer\/opta-rates-man-uniteds-chances-of-reaching-champions-league-last-16\/","title":{"rendered":"Opta rates Man United's chances of reaching Champions League last-16"},"content":{"rendered":"
Manchester United’s hopes of reaching the Champions League knockout stage is hanging by a thread ahead of their must-win clash with Bayern Munich tonight.<\/p>\n
The Red Devils need to beat Bayern Munich at Old Trafford and hope that Copenhagen and Galatasaray play out a draw in the other game in the group to advance to the next stage.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Erik ten Hag’s side’s hopes were severely dented after they threw away the lead twice in a 3-3 draw with Galatasaray – with their last-16 destiny now out of their hands.\u00a0<\/p>\n
This has been reflected in Opta’s latest calculations, with their supercomputer giving United a 9.4 per cent chance of making the next phase.<\/p>\n
Newcastle meanwhile face AC Milan on Wednesday, and while they have been given a higher chance (26.1 per cent) to finish second in their group over Paris Saint-Germain (18.4 per cent) – the French giants and Borussia Dortmund\u00a0are still expected to finish ahead of the Magpies.<\/p>\n
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Manchester United’s Champions League chances are slim following their 3-3 draw in Turkey<\/p>\n
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Erik ten Hag’s side need to beat Bayern Munich and hope for a draw in the other game<\/p>\n
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United are bottom of their group and have been given a 9.4 per cent chance of qualifying<\/p>\n
Your browser does not support iframes.<\/p>\n
Borussia Dortmund and PSG have been given a 51.2 and 48.8 per cent chance respectively of topping Group F – while Newcastle can finish no higher than second.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Eddie Howe’s side will need Dortmund to beat PSG in Germany, and also beat AC Milan at St James’ Park.<\/p>\n
A third place finish in their respective groups would mean that Manchester United and Newcastle drop to the Europa League – alongside the likes of Liverpool, Brighton and West Ham.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Man United have been given a 39 per cent chance of finishing third – higher than that of Galatasaray and Copenhagen.\u00a0<\/p>\n
However, they have also been given the highest expectation of finishing bottom of their group at 51.6 per cent – which would see them crash out of Europe altogether.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Newcastle have a 49.2 per cent chance of finishing third in their group, though a defeat to AC Milan would see them finish fourth – which has been given a chance of 26.1 per cent.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Their chances would have been significantly better if it wasn’t for a controversial penalty which went against them deep into stoppage time during a 1-1 draw with PSG last time out.\u00a0<\/p>\n
There are two other groups where a place in the last-16 is yet to be finalised.<\/p>\n
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Opta give Newcastle United a 26.1 per cent chance of making it through to the knockouts<\/p>\n
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Newcastle’s hopes would have been significantly improved if it were not for a controversial penalty which went against them deep into stoppage time during a 1-1 draw in France<\/p>\n
Porto are heavy favourites to qualify with Barcelona from Group H, though a victory for Shakhtar Donetsk would send the Ukrainians through instead.<\/p>\n
Opta’s supercomputer doesn’t give Shakhtar much hope however, with Porto given an 82.7 per cent chance of advancing.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Braga have a slim chance of reaching the last-16 ahead of reigning Serie A champions Napoli.\u00a0<\/p>\n
The Portuguese side would need to pick up a shock victory tonight and better the Italian club’s 2-1 victory over Braga from earlier in the group stage – as they would finish level on points.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Man City and Arsenal have already reached the last-16, and have secured top-spot in their respective groups.<\/p>\n
It’s All Kicking Off is an exciting new podcast from Mail Sport that promises a different take on Premier League football.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n It is available on MailOnline, Mail+, YouTube, Apple Music and Spotify.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n Your browser does not support iframes.<\/p>\n